May 14, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Muniz | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 146 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -44 |
Andre Muniz overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jacare Souza.
| Metric | Andre Muniz | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Muniz | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:59 | 3:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 251 | 1 435 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -76 |
Andre Muniz earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Andre Muniz | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 095 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Jacare Souza lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Andre Muniz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Muniz | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:10 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 208 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | +109 | -109 |
Andre Muniz controlled Jacare Souza on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 1:10 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Andre Muniz | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -31 |
Andre Muniz demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Andre Muniz capitalized on this activity level, while Jacare Souza's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Muniz | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Andre Muniz extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jacare Souza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Muniz | Jacare Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.