Andre Muniz vs Paul Craig

July 21, 2023

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1132
(-41)
Andre Muniz
Winner: Paul Craig
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:40

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andre Muniz-41
Paul Craig+47
1169
(+47)
Paul Craig

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Muniz: -40Paul Craig: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre MunizPaul Craig
Total UFC Fights716
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 1791 161
ELO Change-40+40
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig's 9-fight experience advantage (16 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Craig for the expected result. Had Andre Muniz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Muniz: -23Paul Craig: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre MunizPaul Craig
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0641 069
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Muniz: -41Paul Craig: +84

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre MunizPaul Craig
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:404:40
Win Type ELO1 2881 420
ELO Change-41+84
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What Happened

Paul Craig gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Muniz: -90Paul Craig: +90

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre MunizPaul Craig
Significant Strikes Landed2440
Significant Strikes Attempted4082
Total Strikes Landed3154
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1071 162
ELO Change-90+90
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 31 total strikes, 40 vs 24 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 60.0% accuracy. Paul Craig capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Muniz: -65Paul Craig: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre MunizPaul Craig
Takedowns Landed22
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time1:472:56
Ground Strikes Landed830
Ground ELO1 1291 186
ELO Change-65+65
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig controlled Andre Muniz on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:56 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Muniz: -20Paul Craig: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre MunizPaul Craig
Days Since Last Fight147182
Activity ELO1 1201 183
ELO Change-20+25
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Paul Craig capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Muniz's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Muniz: -24Paul Craig: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre MunizPaul Craig
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 1101 103
ELO Change-24+27
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Muniz is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Muniz: -24Paul Craig: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre MunizPaul Craig
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0621 068
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.