July 15, 1999
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Pederneiras | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Pat Miletich's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pat Miletich for the expected result. Had Andre Pederneiras pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Pederneiras | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +38 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Pat Miletich captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Andre Pederneiras | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:34 | 1:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 983 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Pat Miletich gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Pederneiras | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Pat Miletich slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 31.0% vs 52.6% accuracy. Pat Miletich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Pederneiras | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 1:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 987 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Pat Miletich did not secure a significant ground advantage against Andre Pederneiras on the ground with 1:36 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andre Pederneiras | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 992 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +10 |
Pat Miletich demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Pat Miletich capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Pederneiras's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Pederneiras | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +29 |
Pat Miletich continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Andre Pederneiras's now at 0.
| Metric | Andre Pederneiras | Pat Miletich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.