September 6, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Dylan Budka |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 153 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Andre Petroski's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andre Petroski for the expected result. Had Dylan Budka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Dylan Budka |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Dylan Budka |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Andre Petroski earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Dylan Budka |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 836 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Andre Petroski dominated the striking exchanges with 78 vs 23 total strikes, 23 vs 17 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 32.1% accuracy. Andre Petroski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Dylan Budka |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:20 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 235 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Andre Petroski dominated Dylan Budka on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:20 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Dylan Budka |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 204 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -12 |
Andre Petroski demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Andre Petroski capitalized on this activity level, while Dylan Budka's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Dylan Budka |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 119 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Andre Petroski extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dylan Budka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Dylan Budka |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.