June 14, 2025
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Edmen Shahbazyan's 2-fight experience advantage (13 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edmen Shahbazyan for the expected result. Had Andre Petroski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 185 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Edmen Shahbazyan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 136 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Edmen Shahbazyan controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 34 total strikes, 53 vs 34 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edmen Shahbazyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Edmen Shahbazyan landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 202 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +68 |
Edmen Shahbazyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edmen Shahbazyan capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Petroski's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 117 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Edmen Shahbazyan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Petroski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

