August 18, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 173 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -29 |
Andre Petroski overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gerald Meerschaert.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 225 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Andre Petroski receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 149 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 155 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Gerald Meerschaert controlled the striking through superior volume (92 vs 67 total strikes), significant strike advantage (76 vs 57). However, since Gerald Meerschaert lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Andre Petroski's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:06 | 1:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 267 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Andre Petroski landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 150 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Andre Petroski demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Andre Petroski capitalized on this activity level, while Gerald Meerschaert's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 132 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -19 |
Andre Petroski continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Gerald Meerschaert's now at 0.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.