Andre Petroski vs Michel Pereira

October 13, 2023

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1119
(-43)
Andre Petroski
Winner: Michel Pereira
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:06

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andre Petroski-43
Michel Pereira+52
1226
(+52)
Michel Pereira

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Petroski: -30Michel Pereira: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre PetroskiMichel Pereira
Total UFC Fights69
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 1431 223
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Michel Pereira's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Pereira for the expected result. Had Andre Petroski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Petroski: -21Michel Pereira: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre PetroskiMichel Pereira
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0741 112
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Petroski: -36Michel Pereira: +86

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre PetroskiMichel Pereira
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:061:06
Win Type ELO1 1891 362
ELO Change-36+86
💡

What Happened

Michel Pereira earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Petroski: -130Michel Pereira: +130

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre PetroskiMichel Pereira
Significant Strikes Landed06
Significant Strikes Attempted118
Total Strikes Landed06
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0251 335
ELO Change-130+130
💡

What Happened

Michel Pereira controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 33.3% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michel Pereira capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Petroski: -64Michel Pereira: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre PetroskiMichel Pereira
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:04
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO1 2031 252
ELO Change-64+64
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Petroski: -18Michel Pereira: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre PetroskiMichel Pereira
Days Since Last Fight56511
Activity ELO1 1321 215
ELO Change-18+16
💡

What Happened

Michel Pereira demonstrated extended layoff with 511 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Michel Pereira capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Petroski's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Petroski: -20Michel Pereira: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre PetroskiMichel Pereira
Win Streak06
Win Streak ELO1 1121 195
ELO Change-20+48
💡

What Happened

Michel Pereira continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Andre Petroski's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Petroski: -21Michel Pereira: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre PetroskiMichel Pereira
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0741 112
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.