October 13, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Michel Pereira's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Pereira for the expected result. Had Andre Petroski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 074 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 189 | 1 362 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +86 |
Michel Pereira earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -130 | +130 |
Michel Pereira controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 33.3% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michel Pereira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 203 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | 511 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +16 |
Michel Pereira demonstrated extended layoff with 511 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Michel Pereira capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Petroski's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 112 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +48 |
Michel Pereira continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Andre Petroski's now at 0.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

