February 15, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 182 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Andre Petroski's 2-fight experience advantage (10 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andre Petroski for the expected result. Had Rodolfo Vieira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 101 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 226 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Andre Petroski earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 024 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Rodolfo Vieira lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Andre Petroski's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 1:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 263 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Andre Petroski did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rodolfo Vieira on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 372 |
| Activity ELO | 1 229 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -14 |
Andre Petroski demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andre Petroski capitalized on this activity level, while Rodolfo Vieira's 372-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 143 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
Andre Petroski extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rodolfo Vieira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Petroski | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 101 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.