March 4, 1999
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 963 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Gary Goodridge's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gary Goodridge for the expected result. Had Andre Roberts pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:43 | 0:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 972 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +73 |
Gary Goodridge secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:43 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 896 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -104 | +104 |
Gary Goodridge slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 8 vs 2 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 66.7% accuracy. Gary Goodridge capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 973 | 918 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 819 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +9 |
Gary Goodridge demonstrated extended layoff with 819 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gary Goodridge capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Roberts's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Gary Goodridge started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Gary Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
