July 15, 1999
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Ron Waterman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Ron Waterman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Ron Waterman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:51 | 2:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 105 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +133 | -59 |
Andre Roberts earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:51, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Ron Waterman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 028 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +132 | -132 |
Ron Waterman controlled the striking through superior volume (27 vs 11 total strikes), significant strike advantage (22 vs 10). However, since Ron Waterman lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Andre Roberts's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Ron Waterman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 038 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Andre Roberts landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Ron Waterman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 036 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -23 |
Andre Roberts demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andre Roberts capitalized on this activity level, while Ron Waterman's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Ron Waterman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Andre Roberts started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ron Waterman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Roberts | Ron Waterman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.