Andre Winner vs Dennis Siver

November 12, 2010

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

997
(-35)
Andre Winner
Winner: Dennis Siver
Submission
Round 1 • 3:37

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andre Winner-35
Dennis Siver+40
1137
(+40)
Dennis Siver

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Winner: -27Dennis Siver: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre WinnerDennis Siver
Total UFC Fights510
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9981 106
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Dennis Siver's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dennis Siver for the expected result. Had Andre Winner pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Winner: -19Dennis Siver: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre WinnerDennis Siver
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9831 051
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Winner: -26Dennis Siver: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre WinnerDennis Siver
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:373:37
Win Type ELO1 0321 243
ELO Change-26+42
💡

What Happened

Dennis Siver earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:37, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Winner: -59Dennis Siver: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre WinnerDennis Siver
Significant Strikes Landed1330
Significant Strikes Attempted4471
Total Strikes Landed1337
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0471 251
ELO Change-59+59
💡

What Happened

Dennis Siver controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 13 total strikes, 30 vs 13 significant strikes, 42.3% vs 29.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dennis Siver capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Winner: -96Dennis Siver: +96

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre WinnerDennis Siver
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:35
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO9061 136
ELO Change-96+96
💡

What Happened

Dennis Siver dominated Andre Winner on the ground with 0:35 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Winner: -15Dennis Siver: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre WinnerDennis Siver
Days Since Last Fight78148
Activity ELO1 0331 184
ELO Change-15+30
💡

What Happened

Dennis Siver demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dennis Siver capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Winner's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Winner: -19Dennis Siver: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre WinnerDennis Siver
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9901 071
ELO Change-19+22
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What Happened

Dennis Siver extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Winner is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Winner: -19Dennis Siver: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre WinnerDennis Siver
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9831 051
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.