May 14, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 039 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 014 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:52 | 4:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 134 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -53 |
Andrea Lee earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Antonina Shevchenko was submitted.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 88 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Andrea Lee dominated the striking exchanges with 88 vs 36 total strikes, 45 vs 23 significant strikes, 72.6% vs 56.1% accuracy. Andrea Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:11 | 3:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 132 | 849 |
| ELO Change | +147 | -147 |
Andrea Lee dominated Antonina Shevchenko on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:11 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -24 |
Andrea Lee demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Andrea Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Antonina Shevchenko's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Andrea Lee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Antonina Shevchenko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 014 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.