February 16, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Ashlee Evans-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -27 |
Andrea Lee overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ashlee Evans-Smith.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Ashlee Evans-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Ashlee Evans-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 076 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Andrea Lee earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Ashlee Evans-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 111 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 209 | 225 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 118 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 069 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Andrea Lee controlled the striking exchanges with 118 vs 71 total strikes, 111 vs 66 significant strikes, 53.1% vs 29.3% accuracy. Andrea Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Ashlee Evans-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:25 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Andrea Lee did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ashlee Evans-Smith on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:25 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Ashlee Evans-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 275 | 317 |
| Activity ELO | 1 041 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Andrea Lee demonstrated standard activity with 275 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Andrea Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Ashlee Evans-Smith's 317-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Ashlee Evans-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Andrea Lee extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashlee Evans-Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Ashlee Evans-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.