November 12, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -37 |
Andrea Lee overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cynthia Calvillo.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 226 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -45 |
Andrea Lee gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 84 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 210 | 154 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 162 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Andrea Lee controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 47 total strikes, 84 vs 47 significant strikes, 40.0% vs 30.5% accuracy. Andrea Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 158 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Andrea Lee did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cynthia Calvillo on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 50 |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -28 |
Andrea Lee demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Andrea Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Cynthia Calvillo's 50-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Andrea Lee extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cynthia Calvillo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.