September 6, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 086 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Joanne Wood's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joanne Wood for the expected result. Had Andrea Lee pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Joanne Wood receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 101 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 137 | 230 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 158 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 096 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Joanne Wood dominated the striking exchanges with 158 vs 104 total strikes, 101 vs 61 significant strikes. Joanne Wood capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:19 | 2:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Joanne Wood edged out Andrea Lee on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:13 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Joanne Wood demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joanne Wood capitalized on this activity level, while Andrea Lee's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Joanne Wood started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrea Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

