March 24, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 162 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Maycee Barber receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 127 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 104 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Maycee Barber edged the striking exchanges with 48 vs 39 significant strikes. Maycee Barber capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:20 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Maycee Barber edged out Andrea Lee on the ground with 2 takedowns, 0:45 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 316 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Maycee Barber demonstrated standard activity with 267 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Maycee Barber capitalized on this activity level, while Andrea Lee's 316-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 018 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
Maycee Barber extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrea Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.