June 7, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 952 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (13 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 945 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 073 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Montana De La Rosa receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 75 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 180 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 115 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Andrea Lee controlled the striking through superior volume (115 vs 88 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (75 vs 70), superior accuracy (49.3% vs 38.9%). However, since Andrea Lee lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Montana De La Rosa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:08 | 2:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Montana De La Rosa edged out Andrea Lee on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:09 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 996 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Montana De La Rosa demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Montana De La Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Andrea Lee's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Montana De La Rosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrea Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 945 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.