August 18, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 006 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +34 |
Natalia Silva overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andrea Lee.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 122 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Natalia Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 125 | 174 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 078 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Natalia Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 43 total strikes, 70 vs 43 significant strikes. Natalia Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Natalia Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Natalia Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Andrea Lee's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +25 |
Natalia Silva extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrea Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.