June 7, 2025
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andreas Gustafsson | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 115 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Andreas Gustafsson overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Khaos Williams.
| Metric | Andreas Gustafsson | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andreas Gustafsson | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 075 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Andreas Gustafsson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andreas Gustafsson | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 98 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 128 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 151 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Andreas Gustafsson dominated the striking exchanges with 151 vs 95 total strikes, 98 vs 39 significant strikes, 76.6% vs 52.7% accuracy. Andreas Gustafsson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andreas Gustafsson | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:34 | 2:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 133 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +133 | -133 |
Andreas Gustafsson dominated Khaos Williams on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 9:34 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andreas Gustafsson | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Andreas Gustafsson demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Andreas Gustafsson capitalized on this activity level, while Khaos Williams's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andreas Gustafsson | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Andreas Gustafsson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Khaos Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andreas Gustafsson | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.