Andreas Stahl vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

December 9, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

939
(-36)
Andreas Stahl
Winner: Santiago Ponzinibbio
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:25

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andreas Stahl-36
Santiago Ponzinibbio+41
1049
(+41)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andreas Stahl: -28Santiago Ponzinibbio: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAndreas StahlSantiago Ponzinibbio
Total UFC Fights25
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9511 043
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Santiago Ponzinibbio for the expected result. Had Andreas Stahl pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andreas Stahl: -20Santiago Ponzinibbio: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAndreas StahlSantiago Ponzinibbio
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9591 021
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andreas Stahl: -29Santiago Ponzinibbio: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricAndreas StahlSantiago Ponzinibbio
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:254:25
Win Type ELO9291 134
ELO Change-29+61
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What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:25, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andreas Stahl: -123Santiago Ponzinibbio: +123

Performance Statistics

MetricAndreas StahlSantiago Ponzinibbio
Significant Strikes Landed1448
Significant Strikes Attempted3477
Total Strikes Landed1449
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8551 086
ELO Change-123+123
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 14 total strikes, 48 vs 14 significant strikes, 62.3% vs 41.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andreas Stahl: -27Santiago Ponzinibbio: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAndreas StahlSantiago Ponzinibbio
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:160:13
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO9381 001
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andreas Stahl: -18Santiago Ponzinibbio: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricAndreas StahlSantiago Ponzinibbio
Days Since Last Fight503167
Activity ELO9611 058
ELO Change-18+32
💡

What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio demonstrated solid activity levels with 167 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this activity level, while Andreas Stahl's 503-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andreas Stahl: -19Santiago Ponzinibbio: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAndreas StahlSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9601 031
ELO Change-19+21
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What Happened

Santiago Ponzinibbio started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andreas Stahl is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andreas Stahl: -20Santiago Ponzinibbio: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAndreas StahlSantiago Ponzinibbio
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9591 021
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.