September 12, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 209 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Andrei Arlovski's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andrei Arlovski for the expected result. Had Antonio Silva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 184 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:59 | 2:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 504 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -17 |
Andrei Arlovski earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 498 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Andrei Arlovski controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 6 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 257 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 1 252 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -13 |
Andrei Arlovski demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this activity level, while Antonio Silva's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 217 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -12 |
Andrei Arlovski continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Antonio Silva's now at 0.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 149 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.