April 16, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 35 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 26 | -26 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Andrei Arlovski's 26-fight experience advantage (35 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andrei Arlovski for the expected result. Had Chase Sherman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 255 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Andrei Arlovski earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 105 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 222 | 192 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 109 | 99 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 083 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Andrei Arlovski controlled the striking exchanges with 105 vs 88 significant strikes. Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Andrei Arlovski did not secure a significant ground advantage against Chase Sherman on the ground with 0:39 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | 339 |
| Activity ELO | 1 258 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -11 |
Andrei Arlovski demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this activity level, while Chase Sherman's 339-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -13 |
Andrei Arlovski started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chase Sherman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Chase Sherman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.