June 2, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 40 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 33 | -33 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +144 |
Don'Tale Mayes overcame a 33-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 40 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andrei Arlovski.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:17 | 3:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 177 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +134 |
Don'Tale Mayes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
Don'Tale Mayes controlled the striking exchanges with 28.7% vs 42.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Don'Tale Mayes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 878 | 949 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 249 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +89 |
Don'Tale Mayes demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Don'Tale Mayes capitalized on this activity level, while Andrei Arlovski's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 119 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +33 |
Don'Tale Mayes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrei Arlovski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 057 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.