November 1, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 31 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 28 | -28 |
| Experience ELO | 1 052 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +86 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik overcame a 28-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 31 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andrei Arlovski.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:29 | 0:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 239 | 1 355 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +152 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:29 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik controlled the striking exchanges with 55.6% vs 44.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 957 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 185 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +60 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this activity level, while Andrei Arlovski's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 097 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrei Arlovski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.