Andrei Arlovski vs Justin Eilers

June 3, 2005

UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1199
(+24)
Andrei Arlovski
Winner: Andrei Arlovski
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andrei Arlovski+24
Justin Eilers-18
987
(-18)
Justin Eilers

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +23Justin Eilers: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiJustin Eilers
Total UFC Fights83
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 117974
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Andrei Arlovski's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andrei Arlovski for the expected result. Had Justin Eilers pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +16Justin Eilers: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiJustin Eilers
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 094984
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +24Justin Eilers: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiJustin Eilers
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:104:10
Win Type ELO1 4211 058
ELO Change+24-11
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What Happened

Andrei Arlovski earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +12Justin Eilers: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiJustin Eilers
Significant Strikes Landed335
Significant Strikes Attempted5621
Total Strikes Landed337
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 462959
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

Andrei Arlovski controlled the striking exchanges with 33 vs 7 total strikes, 33 vs 5 significant strikes, 58.9% vs 23.8% accuracy. Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +36Justin Eilers: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiJustin Eilers
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:070:00
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 146962
ELO Change+36-36
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +38Justin Eilers: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiJustin Eilers
Days Since Last Fight119119
Activity ELO1 136985
ELO Change+38-15
💡

What Happened

Andrei Arlovski demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Eilers's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +29Justin Eilers: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiJustin Eilers
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 126987
ELO Change+29-15
💡

What Happened

Andrei Arlovski continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Justin Eilers's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +17Justin Eilers: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiJustin Eilers
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 089983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.