October 6, 2005
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 147 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Andrei Arlovski's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andrei Arlovski for the expected result. Had Paul Buentello pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 148 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -18 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Andrei Arlovski captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:15 | 0:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 479 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -16 |
Andrei Arlovski achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:15 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 495 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 167 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 125 | 125 |
| Activity ELO | 1 170 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
Andrei Arlovski demonstrated solid activity levels with 125 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Buentello's 125-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 165 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -16 |
Andrei Arlovski continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Paul Buentello's now at 0.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Paul Buentello |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 107 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.