June 28, 2001
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 952 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:23 | 1:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +105 |
Ricco Rodriguez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 961 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Ricco Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 18 total strikes, 30 vs 11 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 42.3% accuracy. Ricco Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 7:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Ricco Rodriguez controlled Andrei Arlovski on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:25 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Ricco Rodriguez demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ricco Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Andrei Arlovski's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Ricco Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrei Arlovski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Ricco Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.