September 14, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 27 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 21 | -21 |
| Experience ELO | 1 076 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +87 |
Shamil Abdurakhimov overcame a 21-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 27 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andrei Arlovski.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 073 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 249 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Shamil Abdurakhimov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 071 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Shamil Abdurakhimov controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 27 total strikes, 32 vs 18 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 31.0% accuracy. Shamil Abdurakhimov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 3:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Shamil Abdurakhimov controlled Andrei Arlovski on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:26 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 196 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Shamil Abdurakhimov demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Shamil Abdurakhimov capitalized on this activity level, while Andrei Arlovski's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +34 |
Shamil Abdurakhimov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrei Arlovski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.