January 1, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 230 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +56 |
Stipe Miocic overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andrei Arlovski.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 190 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:54 | 0:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 554 | 1 602 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +164 |
Stipe Miocic secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:54 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 442 | 1 534 |
| ELO Change | -146 | +146 |
Stipe Miocic controlled the striking exchanges with 73.3% vs 58.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 258 | 1 372 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Stipe Miocic landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 286 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +34 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Andrei Arlovski's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 264 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +36 |
Stipe Miocic extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrei Arlovski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 158 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.