November 6, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 33 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 28 | -28 |
| Experience ELO | 1 111 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Andrei Arlovski's 28-fight experience advantage (33 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andrei Arlovski for the expected result. Had Tanner Boser pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 287 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Andrei Arlovski earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Tanner Boser controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (68 vs 34 total strikes), significant strike advantage (68 vs 34), superior accuracy (57.1% vs 41.5%). However, since Tanner Boser lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Andrei Arlovski's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 009 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 179 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 233 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Andrei Arlovski demonstrated solid activity levels with 179 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this activity level, while Tanner Boser's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 135 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Andrei Arlovski extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tanner Boser is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.