January 12, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 41 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 36 | -36 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +36 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta overcame a 36-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 41 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andrei Arlovski.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 156 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 136 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +0 | +0 |
Andrei Arlovski controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (58 vs 49). However, since Andrei Arlovski lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Waldo Cortes Acosta's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 881 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 236 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Waldo Cortes Acosta capitalized on this activity level, while Andrei Arlovski's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 111 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Both fighters entered without active win streaks, creating neutral momentum conditions. Waldo Cortes Acosta broke his rough patch while Andrei Arlovski extended his struggles.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +5 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.