Andrei Arlovski vs Wesley Correira

April 1, 2004

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1136
(+29)
Andrei Arlovski
Winner: Andrei Arlovski
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andrei Arlovski+29
Wesley Correira-25
1020
(-25)
Wesley Correira

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +34Wesley Correira: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiWesley Correira
Total UFC Fights64
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 0611 022
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Andrei Arlovski's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andrei Arlovski for the expected result. Had Wesley Correira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +20Wesley Correira: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiWesley Correira
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0521 001
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +43Wesley Correira: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiWesley Correira
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:151:15
Win Type ELO1 3181 064
ELO Change+43-21
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What Happened

Andrei Arlovski gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +48Wesley Correira: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiWesley Correira
Significant Strikes Landed514
Significant Strikes Attempted8329
Total Strikes Landed514
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 4021 015
ELO Change+48-48
💡

What Happened

Andrei Arlovski controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 4 total strikes, 51 vs 4 significant strikes, 61.4% vs 13.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +21Wesley Correira: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiWesley Correira
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:060:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0611 023
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +26Wesley Correira: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiWesley Correira
Days Since Last Fight189133
Activity ELO1 0771 025
ELO Change+26-21
💡

What Happened

Andrei Arlovski demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this activity level, while Wesley Correira's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +26Wesley Correira: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiWesley Correira
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 0681 007
ELO Change+26-20
💡

What Happened

Andrei Arlovski extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wesley Correira is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andrei Arlovski: +20Wesley Correira: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrei ArlovskiWesley Correira
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0511 000
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.