April 1, 2004
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Andrei Arlovski's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andrei Arlovski for the expected result. Had Wesley Correira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:15 | 1:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 318 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -21 |
Andrei Arlovski gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 402 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Andrei Arlovski controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 4 total strikes, 51 vs 4 significant strikes, 61.4% vs 13.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 061 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Andrei Arlovski demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Andrei Arlovski capitalized on this activity level, while Wesley Correira's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 068 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Andrei Arlovski extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wesley Correira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrei Arlovski | Wesley Correira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

