June 27, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 020 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Cezar Ferreira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Andrew Craig controlled the striking through superior volume (56 vs 31 total strikes), 1 knockdown. However, since Andrew Craig lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cezar Ferreira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:33 | 5:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Cezar Ferreira edged out Andrew Craig on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:26 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 97 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Cezar Ferreira demonstrated solid activity levels with 97 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cezar Ferreira capitalized on this activity level, while Andrew Craig's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Cezar Ferreira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrew Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Cezar Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.