July 5, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Chris Leben |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -19 |
Andrew Craig overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Chris Leben.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Chris Leben |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Chris Leben |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Andrew Craig receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Chris Leben |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 127 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 137 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Andrew Craig controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 30 significant strikes, 63.4% vs 45.5% accuracy. Andrew Craig capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Chris Leben |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:25 | 5:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 082 | 882 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Andrew Craig controlled Chris Leben on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:25 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Chris Leben |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -31 |
Andrew Craig demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andrew Craig capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Leben's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Chris Leben |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Andrew Craig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chris Leben is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Chris Leben |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.