March 1, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Andrew Craig overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kyle Noke.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 061 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Andrew Craig earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 047 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Andrew Craig dominated the striking exchanges with 104 vs 40 total strikes, 45.6% vs 57.1% accuracy. Andrew Craig capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:56 | 3:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 050 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Andrew Craig edged out Kyle Noke on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:56 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 202 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Andrew Craig demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Andrew Craig capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Noke's 202-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Andrew Craig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Noke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.