July 14, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Lyman Good overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andrew Craig.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:37 | 3:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 976 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +91 |
Lyman Good gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 879 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Lyman Good controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 24 total strikes, 55 vs 20 significant strikes, 51.9% vs 20.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lyman Good capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 878 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Lyman Good landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 382 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Lyman Good demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Lyman Good capitalized on this activity level, while Andrew Craig's 382-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Lyman Good started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrew Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Lyman Good |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

