January 18, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Ronny Markes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Ronny Markes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Ronny Markes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 094 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Ronny Markes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Ronny Markes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Andrew Craig controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (90 vs 28 total strikes), significant strike advantage (20 vs 5), superior accuracy (69.0% vs 55.6%). However, since Andrew Craig lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ronny Markes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Ronny Markes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:59 | 8:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Ronny Markes edged out Andrew Craig on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:49 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Ronny Markes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 193 | 339 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Ronny Markes demonstrated standard activity with 339 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Ronny Markes capitalized on this activity level, while Andrew Craig's 193-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Ronny Markes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Ronny Markes extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrew Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrew Craig | Ronny Markes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.