November 25, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrew Holbrook | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -32 |
Andrew Holbrook overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Matthews.
| Metric | Andrew Holbrook | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrew Holbrook | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 987 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Andrew Holbrook receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andrew Holbrook | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Andrew Holbrook dominated the striking exchanges with 80 vs 29 total strikes, 30 vs 22 significant strikes, 56.6% vs 35.5% accuracy. Andrew Holbrook capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrew Holbrook | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:53 | 5:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 033 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Andrew Holbrook edged out Jake Matthews on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:53 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Holbrook | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 142 | 142 |
| Activity ELO | 1 059 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -26 |
Andrew Holbrook demonstrated solid activity levels with 142 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andrew Holbrook capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Matthews's 142-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Holbrook | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Andrew Holbrook started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Matthews is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrew Holbrook | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.