Andrew Sanchez vs Anthony Smith

April 14, 2017

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1033
(-37)
Andrew Sanchez
Winner: Anthony Smith
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 3:52

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andrew Sanchez-37
Anthony Smith+46
1059
(+46)
Anthony Smith

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andrew Sanchez: -37Anthony Smith: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Total UFC Fights35
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0341 052
ELO Change-37+37
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anthony Smith for the expected result. Had Andrew Sanchez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andrew Sanchez: -23Anthony Smith: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0201 026
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andrew Sanchez: -46Anthony Smith: +92

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:523:52
Win Type ELO1 0451 151
ELO Change-46+92
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andrew Sanchez: -88Anthony Smith: +88

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Significant Strikes Landed6349
Significant Strikes Attempted104100
Total Strikes Landed10458
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9821 142
ELO Change-88+88
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What Happened

Andrew Sanchez controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (104 vs 58 total strikes), significant strike advantage (63 vs 49), superior accuracy (60.6% vs 49.0%). However, since Andrew Sanchez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Anthony Smith's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andrew Sanchez: -31Anthony Smith: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted101
Ground Control Time4:341:07
Ground Strikes Landed246
Ground ELO1 093968
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Anthony Smith landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andrew Sanchez: -23Anthony Smith: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Days Since Last Fight127133
Activity ELO1 0421 073
ELO Change-23+47
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anthony Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Andrew Sanchez's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andrew Sanchez: -24Anthony Smith: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0261 036
ELO Change-24+28
💡

What Happened

Anthony Smith extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrew Sanchez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andrew Sanchez: -23Anthony Smith: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAndrew SanchezAnthony Smith
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0201 026
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.