August 7, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrew Sanchez | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Andrew Sanchez's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andrew Sanchez for the expected result. Had Wellington Turman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andrew Sanchez | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrew Sanchez | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:14 | 4:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 132 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -42 |
Andrew Sanchez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Andrew Sanchez | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 056 | 885 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Andrew Sanchez controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 21 significant strikes, 50.9% vs 41.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Andrew Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrew Sanchez | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:11 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Andrew Sanchez landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Andrew Sanchez | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 064 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Andrew Sanchez demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Andrew Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Wellington Turman's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrew Sanchez | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Andrew Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wellington Turman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrew Sanchez | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

