March 22, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andrey Pulyaev | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Christian Leroy Duncan's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Christian Leroy Duncan for the expected result. Had Andrey Pulyaev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andrey Pulyaev | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andrey Pulyaev | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 978 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Christian Leroy Duncan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andrey Pulyaev | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 141 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Christian Leroy Duncan dominated the striking exchanges with 116 vs 36 total strikes, 73 vs 18 significant strikes, 51.8% vs 32.7% accuracy. Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andrey Pulyaev | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:49 | 5:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 971 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Christian Leroy Duncan did not secure a significant ground advantage against Andrey Pulyaev on the ground with 5:36 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andrey Pulyaev | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Christian Leroy Duncan demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Christian Leroy Duncan capitalized on this activity level, while Andrey Pulyaev's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andrey Pulyaev | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Christian Leroy Duncan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrey Pulyaev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andrey Pulyaev | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.