June 27, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andy Enz | Marcelo Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 943 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Marcelo Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 962 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Marcelo Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 960 | 977 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Marcelo Guimaraes receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Marcelo Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 229 | 166 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 967 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Marcelo Guimaraes controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 51 total strikes, 78 vs 42 significant strikes, 47.0% vs 18.3% accuracy. Marcelo Guimaraes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Marcelo Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Marcelo Guimaraes edged out Andy Enz on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:58 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Marcelo Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 483 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +18 |
Marcelo Guimaraes demonstrated extended layoff with 483 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Marcelo Guimaraes capitalized on this activity level, while Andy Enz's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Marcelo Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Marcelo Guimaraes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andy Enz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Marcelo Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 962 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.