January 30, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 916 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 942 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:56 | 1:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 929 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +74 |
Thiago Santos earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 844 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Thiago Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 1 total strikes, 20 vs 1 significant strikes, 52.6% vs 3.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thiago Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 873 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Thiago Santos landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 943 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Thiago Santos demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Andy Enz's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 942 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Thiago Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andy Enz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andy Enz | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 942 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.