October 25, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andy Ogle | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Cole Miller's 12-fight experience advantage (15 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cole Miller for the expected result. Had Andy Ogle pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andy Ogle | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andy Ogle | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 989 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Cole Miller earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andy Ogle | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 112 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 984 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Andy Ogle controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (112 vs 55 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (27 vs 21). However, since Andy Ogle lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cole Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andy Ogle | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:44 | 4:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 002 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Cole Miller did not secure a significant ground advantage against Andy Ogle on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:27 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andy Ogle | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +51 |
Cole Miller demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Andy Ogle's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andy Ogle | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Cole Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andy Ogle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andy Ogle | Cole Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.