Angela Hill vs Ariane Carnelossi

September 20, 2019

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

986
(+30)
Angela Hill
Winner: Angela Hill
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Round 3 • 1:56

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Angela Hill+30
Ariane Carnelossi-27
973
(-27)
Ariane Carnelossi

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Angela Hill: +37Ariane Carnelossi: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricAngela HillAriane Carnelossi
Total UFC Fights121
Experience Gap11-11
Experience ELO975963
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Angela Hill's 11-fight experience advantage (12 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Angela Hill for the expected result. Had Ariane Carnelossi pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Angela Hill: +24Ariane Carnelossi: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAngela HillAriane Carnelossi
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO976976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Angela Hill: +29Ariane Carnelossi: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricAngela HillAriane Carnelossi
Fight OutcomeTKO - Doctor's StoppageTKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:561:56
Win Type ELO983971
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Angela Hill gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Angela Hill: +30Ariane Carnelossi: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAngela HillAriane Carnelossi
Significant Strikes Landed9272
Significant Strikes Attempted184186
Total Strikes Landed9383
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO972970
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Angela Hill controlled the striking exchanges with 92 vs 72 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 38.7% accuracy. Angela Hill capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Angela Hill: +29Ariane Carnelossi: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricAngela HillAriane Carnelossi
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:590:38
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO907971
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Angela Hill did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ariane Carnelossi on the ground with 0:59 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Angela Hill: +41Ariane Carnelossi: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAngela HillAriane Carnelossi
Days Since Last Fight105N/A
Activity ELO1 115983
ELO Change+41-17
💡

What Happened

Angela Hill demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Angela Hill capitalized on this activity level, while Ariane Carnelossi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Angela Hill: +26Ariane Carnelossi: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAngela HillAriane Carnelossi
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO986977
ELO Change+26-23
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What Happened

Angela Hill started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ariane Carnelossi is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Angela Hill: +24Ariane Carnelossi: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAngela HillAriane Carnelossi
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO975976
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.