September 20, 2019
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Angela Hill's 11-fight experience advantage (12 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Angela Hill for the expected result. Had Ariane Carnelossi pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 976 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:56 | 1:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 983 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Angela Hill gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 186 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 972 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Angela Hill controlled the striking exchanges with 92 vs 72 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 38.7% accuracy. Angela Hill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:59 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 907 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Angela Hill did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ariane Carnelossi on the ground with 0:59 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -17 |
Angela Hill demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Angela Hill capitalized on this activity level, while Ariane Carnelossi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Angela Hill started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ariane Carnelossi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 975 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

