March 12, 2021
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ashley Yoder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Angela Hill's 8-fight experience advantage (17 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Angela Hill for the expected result. Had Ashley Yoder pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ashley Yoder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ashley Yoder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 117 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Angela Hill earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ashley Yoder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 135 | 116 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Angela Hill controlled the striking exchanges with 97 vs 53 total strikes, 77 vs 34 significant strikes, 57.0% vs 29.3% accuracy. Angela Hill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ashley Yoder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:52 | 2:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 036 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Angela Hill controlled Ashley Yoder on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:52 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ashley Yoder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -11 |
Angela Hill demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Angela Hill capitalized on this activity level, while Ashley Yoder's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ashley Yoder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Angela Hill started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ashley Yoder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Ashley Yoder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.