November 3, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Angela Hill | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 042 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Angela Hill's 20-fight experience advantage (24 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Angela Hill for the expected result. Had Denise Gomes pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 137 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Angela Hill earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 133 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 111 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 035 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Angela Hill edged the striking exchanges with 76 vs 62 significant strikes, 63.3% vs 46.6% accuracy. Angela Hill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:03 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 126 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Angela Hill controlled Denise Gomes on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 8:03 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 213 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -15 |
Angela Hill demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Angela Hill capitalized on this activity level, while Denise Gomes's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Angela Hill started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Denise Gomes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Denise Gomes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 007 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.