December 2, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Angela Hill | Emily Ducote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Angela Hill's 20-fight experience advantage (22 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Angela Hill for the expected result. Had Emily Ducote pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Emily Ducote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Emily Ducote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 116 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Angela Hill earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Emily Ducote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 182 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 345 | 173 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 190 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 057 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Angela Hill dominated the striking exchanges with 190 vs 76 total strikes, 182 vs 71 significant strikes, 52.8% vs 41.0% accuracy. Angela Hill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Emily Ducote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 089 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Emily Ducote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 209 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -12 |
Angela Hill demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Angela Hill capitalized on this activity level, while Emily Ducote's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Emily Ducote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Angela Hill extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Emily Ducote is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Emily Ducote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.