May 17, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Angela Hill | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 25 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Angela Hill's 20-fight experience advantage (25 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Angela Hill for the expected result. Had Luana Pinheiro pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 030 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:12 | 4:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 182 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -29 |
Angela Hill earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:12, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Luana Pinheiro was submitted.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 064 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Angela Hill edged the striking exchanges with 28 vs 17 significant strikes. Angela Hill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:06 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 255 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -129 |
Angela Hill dominated Luana Pinheiro on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 3:06 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 228 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Angela Hill demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Angela Hill capitalized on this activity level, while Luana Pinheiro's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Angela Hill extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luana Pinheiro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.