May 19, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Angela Hill | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +38 |
Mackenzie Dern overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Angela Hill.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Mackenzie Dern earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 126 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 108 | 210 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 247 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 995 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Mackenzie Dern dominated the striking exchanges with 247 vs 94 total strikes, 126 vs 66 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:11 | 13:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 49 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Mackenzie Dern dominated Angela Hill on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:12 of control time, 49 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 187 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Mackenzie Dern demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this activity level, while Angela Hill's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Mackenzie Dern started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Angela Hill is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Angela Hill | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.